Tuesday, 15 May 2012

The Aussie boys to do the biz in Texas!


Byron Nelson Championship on the PGA Tour


This week’s action comes from TPC Four Seasons, no not the hotel, the golf course. It’s a tree lined course and being in Texas there’s sure to be a stiff breeze about over the weekend. There are a few notable holes to look out for, no more so than the 524 yard Par 4 3rd hole, beast!

My first selection this week is my old buddy Adam Scott. As much as he is not having the year I expected or wanted him to have he’s posted a few good scores and hopefully will get a win soon and kick on for the rest of the season.  Scott has had three Top 15 finishes in his last three starts on the PGA Tour which includes an 8th at the Masters (ante post pick) and 15th at the Players last week. Stats wise he is back to the Scott of two years ago, plenty of GIR (ranked 5th on tour) but not enough putts holed (Ranked 140th in strokes gained through putting). Last year he appeared to have his putting woes sorted with the broom handled putter, hence my prediction in January for a good year for the Aussie, but the putts have dried up again, either that or I put the scud on him, probably the latter.
Adam Scott eyeing down an approach shot


My second selection is another Aussie, Jason Day. A bit like Scott he isn’t setting the tour alight this year but has the talent to put a missed cut behind him from last week at the Players and post a few good numbers at a course he clearly loves. TPC Sawgrass is a course that just doesn’t suit some player’s eye, like McIlroy it doesn’t seem to suit Days. So I am putting a line through last week and concentrating more on the T-9 at the Wells Fargo Championship the week before. With only two appearances at the Byron Nelson; he was 5th last year and won the tourney in 2010. When looking at his stats and seeing that he is ranked 176th in Driving Accuracy this season it doesn’t exactly fill with me confidence when the course is predominantly tree lined but let’s hope he gets the good vibes on the go at TPC Four Seasons and gets back to the form of last year which saw him contending in the majors.

Another selection this week stateside will be for the old Texas Master Justin Leonard to post a Top 20 finish. He’s clearly not the force he once was, but he can still throw in a couple of low rounds, especially around this track. He jointly holds the course record with a 61 and has a few other low 60’s to his name down the years. I couldn’t possibly put any money on him to win the tourney outright as he has been having a tough year, to say the least. However when you consider some of the numbers he can shoot round here the 125/1 on offer for him to be First Round Leader is worth a quid of anyone’s money.
 

My Selections:

Adam Scott @ 14/1 each way with Ladbrokes
Jason Day @ 20/1 each way with Paddy Power
Justin Leonard @ 125/1 First Round Leader with BetFred
Justin Leonard @ 5/1 Top 20 finish with Paddy Power




Volvo World Match Play Championship on the European Tour


With the Match Play being in Spain it gives potential Ryder Cup-er’s a chance to show the gaffer (Jose Maria Olazabel) what they can offer his team for September at Medinah. I think sticking to the market principals is the logical way to find the winner here this week.

This tourney is like no other in the way the format of the match play works. It’s a round robin with eight groups of three players who will play against each other on Thursday and Friday. The Top 2 from the three will then progress to the last 16 on Saturday and then the quarters. Both the Semi’s and the Final are played on Sunday.

My first selection is the defending champ Ian Poulter. I also had him tipped up last week and didn’t really want to be tipping the same golfer two weeks in a row but I genuinely feel he has a great chance to defend the title successfully for the first time since Ernie Els completed a hatrick in 2004. Poults got off to a great start for me last week when leading after the first round but he then threw in a couple of poor rounds to finish down the field. He isn’t quiet when it comes to his chances and seems very bullish and excited to play some match play in among a touch run of stroke play events.

My second selection is Graeme Mc Dowell. GMAC is a different player when it comes to match play and like Poults will be buzzing to tee it up on Thursday. He hasn’t really got going this year and this could be the sort of tourney to get his season up and running with plenty of Ryder Cup points on offer.

Like any Match Play there are sure to be a few upsets but I’d be surprised if one of the outsiders won this week. The event is sure to be dominated by the players that will more than likely represent Europe in the Ryder Cup in September.


My Selections:

Ian Poulter @ 10/1 Outright with BetFred
Graeme McDowell @ 14/1 Outright with SkyBet

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